Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.894334e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000064 0.000073
2025-03-23 2.219369e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000058 0.000071 0.000087
2025-03-30 1.747473e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000060 0.000077 0.000097
2025-04-06 1.366278e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000044 0.000060 0.000080 0.000105
2025-04-13 1.026866e-05 0.000017 0.000027 0.000040 0.000058 0.000080 0.000109
2025-04-20 8.160019e-06 0.000015 0.000025 0.000039 0.000058 0.000083 0.000116
2025-04-27 6.840946e-06 0.000014 0.000024 0.000039 0.000060 0.000087 0.000124
2025-05-04 5.928016e-06 0.000013 0.000023 0.000039 0.000062 0.000092 0.000134
2025-05-11 5.653443e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000042 0.000067 0.000102 0.000150
2025-05-18 5.013724e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000042 0.000070 0.000108 0.000161
2025-05-25 3.829545e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000068 0.000107 0.000163
2025-06-01 3.013714e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000038 0.000067 0.000108 0.000167
2025-06-08 2.249403e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000067 0.000111 0.000176
2025-06-15 1.709784e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000036 0.000068 0.000116 0.000186
2025-06-22 1.251131e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000035 0.000069 0.000119 0.000196
2025-06-29 8.514699e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000034 0.000068 0.000121 0.000202
2025-07-06 5.039560e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000031 0.000065 0.000119 0.000204
2025-07-13 3.211933e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000030 0.000065 0.000121 0.000210
2025-07-20 2.236352e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000030 0.000066 0.000125 0.000221
2025-07-27 1.640775e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000068 0.000132 0.000234
2025-08-03 1.523992e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000074 0.000143 0.000255
2025-08-10 1.141201e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000150 0.000270
2025-08-17 5.226335e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000074 0.000148 0.000272